SoFi now offers XRP trading through FDIC-insured accounts, but the Polymarket contract for XRP reaching $2.60 by end of April 2026 sits at 0.5% YES, unchanged over the past week. Market reaction �...
China is reportedly considering a slower pace of consumer lending rate cuts, according to Caixin. On Polymarket’s China Annual GDP Growth 2026 market, the probability of 2026 annual GDP growth falli...
Iranian state media reports the collection of toll revenue from the Strait of Hormuz, with funds already in the Central Bank. The probability of 80 ships transiting daily by April 30 is at 5% , down�...
A Pentagon assessment shared with Congress suggests mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz could take up to six months. The market for 80 ships transiting by April 30 now sits at 5% YES, down from �...
Lindsey Graham hinted at a possible global expansion of the U.S. blockade on Iran. The market for a U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 sits at 100% YES, but Graham’s statement points toward ...
Israel has set up a military zone several kilometers into southern Lebanon, called the “Yellow Line,” despite an existing ceasefire. The market for an Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026...
Honeywell announced the $1.4 billion sale of its Productivity Solutions and Services business to Brady Corporation, while SpaceX’s S-1 filing projects a $28.5 trillion addressable market. The odds f...
Binance has surpassed $1.09 trillion in trading volume just 112 days into 2026, driven by institutional demand. Bitcoin’s year-end price prediction market sits at 5.0% YES for reaching $200,000 by...
Solana’s PropAMM recorded $19.8B in March trading volume, surpassing the $19.2B combined SOL spot volume on the top four centralized exchanges. The likelihood of Solana reaching $150 in April is at ...
US Treasury Secretary Bessent has denied claims that Iran received $14 billion from sanctions relief, and the probability of a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 has dropped to 7.4% YES, down from 20�...